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QBE Syndicate 386 - updated forecasts as at 30 September 2023

QBE Underwriting Limited has provided us with updated forecasts for the open years of Syndicate 386 as follows:

Year of account

Capacity
£000s

Updated Forecast

Previous Forecast
Range

Change at
Midpoint

2021

332,887

4.7% to 9.7%

7.6% to 12.6%

2.9 points worse

2022

366,153

9.2% to 14.2%

8.3% to 13.3%

0.9 points better

QBE comments that the deterioration on the 2021 year of account follows a need for strengthening of reserves, ameliorated to an extent by an improving projected contribution from investment income.

The 2022 account benefits from favourable large loss experience.

Syndicate forecasts are expressed as a percentage of allocated capacity and are after all standard personal expenses but before members’ agents’ fees and charges. 

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